Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.025278 0.030430 0.035832 0.041876 0.048409 0.055223 0.062833
2026-02-01 0.017108 0.024169 0.032125 0.041551 0.052239 0.063832 0.077223
2026-02-08 0.010988 0.018574 0.027785 0.039290 0.052870 0.068061 0.086046
2026-02-15 0.007516 0.015299 0.025448 0.038710 0.054869 0.073364 0.095650
2026-02-22 0.005416 0.013305 0.024302 0.039231 0.057881 0.079599 0.106110
2026-03-01 0.003896 0.011745 0.023447 0.039893 0.060886 0.085687 0.116279
2026-03-08 0.002936 0.010814 0.023283 0.041315 0.064724 0.092685 0.127444
2026-03-15 0.002040 0.009693 0.022677 0.042028 0.067587 0.098446 0.137100
2026-03-22 0.001857 0.009958 0.024129 0.045513 0.073951 0.108434 0.151753
2026-03-29 0.000990 0.008285 0.022381 0.044463 0.074422 0.111188 0.157759
2026-04-05 0.000579 0.007462 0.021874 0.045070 0.076973 0.116445 0.166717
2026-04-12 0.000253 0.006517 0.021027 0.045104 0.078716 0.120662 0.174393
2026-04-19 0.000061 0.005657 0.020292 0.045369 0.080910 0.125645 0.183270
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004723 0.019272 0.045149 0.082437 0.129808 0.191193
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003327 0.016991 0.042804 0.080952 0.130078 0.194290
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002584 0.015890 0.042200 0.081787 0.133243 0.200893
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002194 0.015524 0.042745 0.084196 0.138405 0.209946
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001880 0.015268 0.043437 0.086791 0.143796 0.219273
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001747 0.015487 0.044922 0.090512 0.150642 0.230408
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001498 0.015290 0.045667 0.093158 0.156084 0.239792
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001758 0.016742 0.049302 0.099979 0.166979 0.255989
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001233 0.015521 0.048208 0.099947 0.168913 0.260987
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001031 0.015295 0.048841 0.102399 0.174086 0.270027